Once a rice exporting
country Nepal has started importing rice in huge quantity in the recent years.
Despite the record high
production in 2011, rice imports surged by 311 per cent in 2012, according to
Crop Situation Update produced jointly by the Ministry of Agriculture
Development, World Food Programme (WFP) and Food and Agriculture Organisation
(FAO).
The country imported
524,592 metric tonnes (MT) of rice worth Rs 13.96 billion in the first 10
months — January to October — in 2012, it said, adding that 241,917 MT maize
worth Rs 4.73 billion was imported in the review period. "Overall outlook
for winter crops and summer crop production, however, for fiscal year 2012-13,
especially, wheat and barley remains moderate."
Due to late plantation
and poor soil moisture, production of winter crops was expected to decline but
winter rain — in the second week of January — revived the normal production
expectation for wheat.
In India, the 2012-13
summer paddy production is below the record high production of 2011-12 by some
17 per cent though its food grain production estimates for 2012-13 stand higher
than the five-year average by some four million MT. Low production in India is
expected to escalate the price in the market.
The FAO and
International Grains Council (IGC) estimate global paddy and maize production
at 728.7 million MT and 876 million MT, respectively, it said. At 728.7 million
MT, paddy production is set to surpass the 2011 historical record by 4.9
million MT, which is 0.7 per cent higher.
The 2012-13 summer
cereal crop output is estimated at 6.8 million MT, with 4.5 million MT of
paddy, two million MT of maize and 0.3 million MT of millet. "It
represents a reduction of 10 per cent overall, with 11, eight and 2.5 per cent
drops for paddy, maize and millet, respectively, compared to the 2011-12 summer
output," they added. "However, against the five-year average, the
2012-13 summer output marginally exceeds by 0.75 per cent."
Growing conditions of
rainfall and production estimates for the 2012-13 summer crop were similar to
that of 2009-10, when late and erratic rainfall resulted in significant losses
for paddy and maize production.
"Lack of timely
fertiliser supply also affected summer crop production in 2012," the
report said, adding that retail prices of most food commodities showed a normal
fluctuation in December 2012, as compared to the same period of the past four
years. "Farm gate price of paddy increased by 18.5 per cent (by Rs 2.50)
compared to 2011, whereas wage rate index of agricultural labour increased by
30 per cent."
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