Five
countries of South Asia – Bangladesh, Bhutan, the Maldives, Nepal, and Sri
Lanka - could slash greenhouse gas emissions by a fifth by 2020 at little
long-term cost by introducing a variety of clean technologies, according to a
new study from the Asian Development Bank (ADB).
"The
livelihoods of more than 200 million people in these five countries are
threatened by the rapid loss of snow cover in the Himalayas and rising sea
levels,” said principal climate change specialist with ADB’s South Asia
Department Mahfuz Ahmed. “It is possible to slash greenhouse gas emissions
through big and small changes that would have little or no long-term cost to
the end users.”
Annual
energy-related greenhouse gas emissions in the five countries are together set
to rise from 58 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2005 to 245
million in 2030, according to The Economics of Reducing Greenhouse Gas
Emissions in South Asia.
It shows
primary energy use in the five South Asian nations by 2030 is likely to be
almost 3,600 petajoules, 2.4 times higher than in 2005, largely due to rising
consumption from industry and transport.
Clean,
low-cost technologies include replacing fossil fuel generation with renewable
or cleaner energy such as solid waste or gas; upgrading to more fuel-efficient
technology or using greener products, such as solar cookstoves, electric or
more efficient diesel vehicles, or biodiesel fishing vessels. The introduction
of these large and small-scale green technologies costing up to $10 per ton of
greenhouse house gas emissions could cut 27.9 million tonnes – or 20 per cent –
off of 2020’s projected energy-related annual emissions of
125.5
million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent.
To do that,
however, countries must overcome a number of challenges, including making sure
information, financing, and incentives are available to encourage users to
shift to cleaner technologies. Direct and indirect fuel subsidies should be
phased out or made more targeted, the study says. Meanwhile, ministries and
countries should work more closely together to better plan and develop
cross-border energy markets and promote green development.
In addition,
introducing a carbon tax that rises along with the global carbon price could
slash greenhouse gas emissions by a fifth in 2030 in the five countries.
India, the biggest energy
consumer and largest generator of greenhouse gases in the region, though not
covered by the study, will increase its energy consumption to about 63,000
petajoules in 2030, an increase of more than five times from 2005, the study
says.
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