Thursday, September 12, 2019

Nepal needs to increase investments in energy by fourfold: World Bank

In line with the ambitious target of producing 15 gigawatts (GW) in 10 years and meeting the rising domestic demand for electricity, Nepal needs to increase investments in the energy sector by two- to fourfold, according to a World Bank report.
“A twofold to fourfold increase in public and private investment is needed to meet the projected demand in the country and utilise the sector’s export potential,” the report reads, adding that electricity sector investments will need to accelerate substantially to an average of $1.3 billion to $2.1 billion annually between 2018 and 2040.
The report, which suggests policy-level reforms to strengthen the institutional capacity of power sector institutions with the view of attracting large-scale investment in the energy sector, has come at a time when Nepal’s foreign direct investment (FDI) level has fallen by 25.4 per cent year-on-year.
According to the central bank, the amount of direct investment in Nepal declined to Rs 13.06 billion in the fiscal year 2018-19 from Rs 17.52 billion in a fiscal year ago 2017-18.
The Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) estimates that the country will have a surplus of around 8,000 megawatts (MW) by 2025 as its generation capacity is expected to reach 10,924 MW, while peak demand is likely to reach 2,981 MW.
Infrastructure experts say the generation and export targets will not be achieved unless the government focuses on implementing policies to facilitate investments in the sector at the earliest. “The problem is not with the laws, policies and work procedures governing foreign or private investment in the sector, the problem is with the hassle-laden processes that have dissuaded potential investors,” said a former secretary at the Ministry of Energy, Water Resources and Irrigation Anup Kumar Upadhyay.
According to Upadhyay, Nepal should facilitate domestic and foreign investment in export-oriented projects by stringently monitoring systemic delays by authorities and eliminating social and financial hurdles faced by investors such as local obstructions, risk hedging and profit repatriation.
“It will be important to create an enabling environment for foreign investment and financing to flow into the sector in a sustainable way while managing fiscal commitments and contingent liabilities risk,” reads the report issued by the multilateral institution, which has financed the construction of high capacity transmission lines and hydel schemes.
According to the World Bank, Nepal needs infrastructure investments of around 10 to 15 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP) annually for the next 10 years, and the success of these investments will depend on the timely implementation of investment-related legislation that meets good practices.
The report has come at a time when the Finance and Energy ministries are divided over contributions from the ministries and the state-owned power utility to the hedge fund, a financial instrument used as a cushion against currency fluctuations faced by investors who bring investments both in debt and equity in foreign denominations.
Negotiations between the Energy Ministry and a consortium of Chinese and Nepali developers of the 600 megawatt (MW) Upper Marshyangdi project including Butwal Power Company (BPC) have stalled after the ministries locked horns over the terms of the hedging mechanism.
Earlier, the Korean developers of the 216-MW Upper Trishuli 1 Hydroelectric Scheme had also faced bureaucratic impediments owing to hedge fund contributions, which were sorted out following months-long discussions.
According to independent power producers (IPPs), there is a funding gap in energy projects, and foreign investors have expressed interest in channelling investments in the sector but the country lacks a proper risk-sharing mechanism between investors and the government. “Judging by the foreign direct investment (FDI) commitments, we can say investors are interested but the government’s inability to share business risk and assure investors a high level of socio-economic support has deterred the possibilities,” according to vice-president of the Independent Power Producers’ Association of Nepal (IPPAN) Kumar Pandey.
Investment Board Nepal (IBN) data revealed that Nepal received investment pledges of  Rs 36 billion from China and Rs 10 billion from India in 2018. But a large portion of those pledges is yet to materialise in the form of direct investment.
The report has urged stakeholders to strengthen the enabling conditions for electricity trade with its neighbours by establishing the appropriate legal, regulatory and institutional environment for energy export.
The report coincides with the attempts of policy makers to end the deadlock in negotiations over financing and implementation modalities of the second cross-border transmission line between Nepal and India, and urge their Indian counterparts to establish government policies related to energy banking in India which will allow its power sector regulator to formalise energy exchange between the two countries, which is currently done through mutual agreement.

No comments: