The Trade and Development Report 2010 cautions against too fast a wind down of economic stimulus measures in wealthy nations as the fragile recovery from the global recession plays out over the next year.
It says a premature end to demand-stimulus policies could lead to deflation, declines in economic growth, and more lost jobs. A contributing factor is that the systemic causes of the crisis, including continuing large trade and current-accounts deficits and surpluses in a number of major economies, have not been resolved, the report says.
The report, known as the TDR, recommends that developing countries revamp their approaches to economic growth to ensure that they are not overly dependent on exports. It says the climate of the global recovery does not seem to indicate that sufficient demand will emerge to support such export growth. In a special chapter on stimulating employment it calls for boosts in domestic demand through enhanced investments in fixed capital and new technology -- and wage increases that keep pace with productivity improvements.
That should lead to greater domestic demand for goods, and to the creation of jobs to produce the goods needed to meet that demand. In many nations unemployment now stands at 40-year highs. If you are listed in our database, you will receive the Trade and Development Report 2010 in the next few days.
It says a premature end to demand-stimulus policies could lead to deflation, declines in economic growth, and more lost jobs. A contributing factor is that the systemic causes of the crisis, including continuing large trade and current-accounts deficits and surpluses in a number of major economies, have not been resolved, the report says.
The report, known as the TDR, recommends that developing countries revamp their approaches to economic growth to ensure that they are not overly dependent on exports. It says the climate of the global recovery does not seem to indicate that sufficient demand will emerge to support such export growth. In a special chapter on stimulating employment it calls for boosts in domestic demand through enhanced investments in fixed capital and new technology -- and wage increases that keep pace with productivity improvements.
That should lead to greater domestic demand for goods, and to the creation of jobs to produce the goods needed to meet that demand. In many nations unemployment now stands at 40-year highs. If you are listed in our database, you will receive the Trade and Development Report 2010 in the next few days.
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