Saturday, June 13, 2020

Government goes bankrupt

Though, incumbent finance minister Dr Yuba Raj Khatiwada – issuing a whitepaper two years ago intending to tarnish the earlier government’s image – claimed that the government coffer was empty and the economic indicators were worse, he has finally succeeded to empty the treasury and worsen the economic indicators further, by himself.
As Khatiwada presented his third budget in a row – the only second lucky finance minister to do so after 1990 – the government has no money to pay salary to its employees because of its failure in mobilising the revenue. “The government is having a cash crunch to manage immediate liabilities due to a shortage in revenue mobilisation also because of nationwide lockdown imposed since last 82 days,” a senior government employee at the Finance Ministry confirmed.
The government has imposed nationwide lockdown since March 24 that has stagnated all the businesses activities across the country. The government needs around Rs 40 billion – every month – to meet mandatory liabilities like regular salary to its employees, but it has been able to mobilise around Rs 15 billion from the major source – customs offices – only in a month, according to the Finance Ministry official. The government coffer has only around Rs 50 billion at present, which is enough for the salary of next month, which is the last month of the current fiscal year,” he said, adding that from the first month of the next fiscal year, the government will not be able to pay regular salaries to its staff also due to Supreme Court move to restrict the government to collect tax during the lockdown. “The Supreme Court has issued interim order to the government not to push the private sector for tax during the lockdown and allow them 30 days after the lockdown, is fully relaxed, to clear tax dues.”
The Finance Ministry has, however, moved to the Supreme Court to vacate the interim order as it will fail to pay salary, if it is not allowed to mobilise tax this month. The government imposed a nationwide lockdown on March 24, closing industries, businesses, suspending ground and air travel, and has asked to pay tax within June 21. Some entrepreneurs went to Apex Court asking an interim order against the Inland Revenue Department (IRD) – under the Finance Ministry – diktat.
According to the Financial Comptroller General’s Office (FCGO), the revenue mobilisation as of today stands at only 58 per cent of the target that is Rs 1.11 billion. Although the government keeps high hopes on gathering a significant amount in taxes in the final month of the fiscal year, it is likely to face a huge shortfall due to Supreme Court’s interim order this time.
The government has an option to transfer the money from various funds into its treasury to meet its necessary liabilities including salary for government workers, pensions for retired employees, social security allowance for the elderly and disadvantaged groups, and payments to be made for internal and external loans.
Citing the adverse situation in revenue mobilisation, the government expects to receive Rs 299.50 billion from external debt and Rs 225 billion from domestic borrowing mainly to meet the recurrent expenditure. But the government capacity to absorb the external debt is limited due to structural and procedural problems, whereas more domestic borrowing will squeeze private sector’s capacity to borrow hurting the economic growth. “Likewise, borrowing to pay salary to the government employees will also send a wrong message as the private sector is also not able to pay salary to its employees,” the official said, adding that more domestic borrowing – for administrative purposes – could also result in an exorbitant rise in market prices.
While presenting his third budget on May 28, Khatiwada claimed that the government will be able to mobilise Rs 827 billion revenue, contain inflation under 7 per cent, and achieve 7 per cent economic growth.

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