Nepal Rastra bank (NRB) has upwardly revised its earlier inflation target of 7.5 per cent to 11 per cent.
During the mid-term Monetary Policy review here today, the central bank not only revised its inflation target but also slashed the growth target that was projected at seven per cent. "Though globally prices are coming down, the price hike in the domestic market could not be brought down due to non-monetary factors," said NRB governor Dipendra Bahadur Chhetri.
He said that the central bank can bring a strict Monetary Policy to control the prices but fearing its negative impact on private sector, it is reluctant to do so. "We will continue with a lenient monetary policy," he said adding that the central bank could not control money supply only to curb inflation as that would hit private sector hard.
"The growth of seven per cent also could not be achieved," Chhetri admitted adding that the growth would be lower. Though, he did not specifically say what the growth target would be, the Central Bureau of Statics based on the first six months' data has projected 3.8 per cent growth during this fiscal year. "Regular hours of power crisis and low investor confidence give little space for growth this fiscal year," according to the review. The lower projection not only debunks the Monetary Policy's tall claims but also reflects the impact of the global financial crisis that has hit the major labour destinations.
The mid-term evaluation underlines that the declining number of tourists and outbound Nepali workers might shake economic foundations. "Decreasing number of incoming tourists and outbound blue-collar Nepali job seekers will bleed the economy white," the governor said adding that the central bank, however, is hopeful that the new market -- like Libya -- for Nepali labourers might give some respite to remittance that is the life-line of the economy.
The review did not change key variables such as cash reserve ratio (CRR) as the advisor of the government is satisfied with the measures it took in the Monetary Policy.
However, the governor expressed serious concern over the government's inability to spend. "High revenue mobilisation and less spending will result in the contraction of liquidity," he said adding that the at present overall liquidity of the economy was in a comfortable position.
Showing posts with label Global financial crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global financial crisis. Show all posts
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Chinese Crisis in offing, to hit Nepal harder
China is heading towards a US-like situation that led to global crisis.
"China is also heading towards a US-like situation," said Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir, professor of economics at Dhaka University speaking at an interaction here. "Currently, China is also following the US path that led to the global crisis," he said adding that there has been a huge job cut in China over the recent months.
The impact of the crisis in China on Nepal, according to him, will be even more deadlier than the global crisis. Consumer items will become cheaper than food.
"TVs will be cheaper but food prices will skyrocket, hurting Nepal," agreed Nabin Subedi, Team Leader, ActionAid Nepal. "It might lead to a humanitarian crisis."
At a time when the government is fighting to meet the rising expectations of Nepalis, after the global crisis the Chinese crisis will be the last straw on its back.
Nepal, unlike earlier claims, will feel the heat of the global recession as it has a strong representation of its labour force in the markets that are tied to the US economy.
Though lesser global exposure will result in lesser impact on Nepal, experts here have claimed that remittance -- the life line of Nepal's economy -- will decline when the number of migrant Nepali workers start returning and the outward bound trend slows down. "Thriving financial institutions will see holes in their balance sheets," they said.
The professor toed the school of thought that developing countries like Nepal will feel the heat of the financial crisis -- in his own words, 'Real Systemic Crisis'.
Blind faith in the efficiency of deregulated financial markets and the absence of a cooperative financial and monetary system created an illusion of risk-free profits and licensed profligacy through speculative finance in many areas.
"The crisis -- fuelled by easy money -- has raised serious questions as to whether it is the result of misleading policy interventions and whether this will weather US hegemony," the professor said adding that the crisis was evident due to over-production and decline in profit. "The US tried hard to stop this crisis by offering more innovative products but failed," he added. The mounting turmoil reflects failures of national and international financial deregulation, persistent global current-accounts imbalances, absence of a rule-based international monetary system, and deep inconsistencies among global trading, financial, and monetary policies.
"China is also heading towards a US-like situation," said Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir, professor of economics at Dhaka University speaking at an interaction here. "Currently, China is also following the US path that led to the global crisis," he said adding that there has been a huge job cut in China over the recent months.
The impact of the crisis in China on Nepal, according to him, will be even more deadlier than the global crisis. Consumer items will become cheaper than food.
"TVs will be cheaper but food prices will skyrocket, hurting Nepal," agreed Nabin Subedi, Team Leader, ActionAid Nepal. "It might lead to a humanitarian crisis."
At a time when the government is fighting to meet the rising expectations of Nepalis, after the global crisis the Chinese crisis will be the last straw on its back.
Nepal, unlike earlier claims, will feel the heat of the global recession as it has a strong representation of its labour force in the markets that are tied to the US economy.
Though lesser global exposure will result in lesser impact on Nepal, experts here have claimed that remittance -- the life line of Nepal's economy -- will decline when the number of migrant Nepali workers start returning and the outward bound trend slows down. "Thriving financial institutions will see holes in their balance sheets," they said.
The professor toed the school of thought that developing countries like Nepal will feel the heat of the financial crisis -- in his own words, 'Real Systemic Crisis'.
Blind faith in the efficiency of deregulated financial markets and the absence of a cooperative financial and monetary system created an illusion of risk-free profits and licensed profligacy through speculative finance in many areas.
"The crisis -- fuelled by easy money -- has raised serious questions as to whether it is the result of misleading policy interventions and whether this will weather US hegemony," the professor said adding that the crisis was evident due to over-production and decline in profit. "The US tried hard to stop this crisis by offering more innovative products but failed," he added. The mounting turmoil reflects failures of national and international financial deregulation, persistent global current-accounts imbalances, absence of a rule-based international monetary system, and deep inconsistencies among global trading, financial, and monetary policies.
Sunday, December 7, 2008
India unveils IRs 3,000 billion package to pump prime economy
New Delhi: In a bid to contain the impact of the global financial crisis on India, the government Sunday unveiled a IRs 300,000 crore (IRs 3,000 billion/$60 billion) package to pump prime the economy with specific measures for various sectors.
The amount is to be spent over the remaining four months on a host of areas and stake holders such as exporters, housing, infrastructure and textiles. A four per cent cut in Value Added Tax (VAT) has also been announced to help the corporate sector in general.
"The government has been concerned about the impact of the global financial crisis on the Indian economy and a number of steps have been taken to deal with this problem," an official statement said, unveiling the package.
The measures Sunday come a day after the central bank reduced its key rates and eased the norms for accessing overseas funds to reduce the cost of borrowing for commercial banks and signal them to lower interest rate for India Inc.
These measures were overseen by Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh himself, in consultations with now Home Minister P Chidambaram, Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia and Commerce Minister Kamal Nath, officials said.
As a first step, the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government will seek parliament's mandate for an additional allocation of IRs 200 billion to take the authorised plan and non-plan expenditure to IRs 3,000 billion in the remaining months of the fiscal. Parliament session is slated to open December 10.
“The economy will continue to need stimulus in 2009-2010 also and this can be achieved by ensuring a substantial increase in plan expenditure as part of the budget for next year,” the statement said.
The measures for exporters, who saw a decline in shipments in October for the first time in five years, include an interest support of two percent for labour intensive sectors like textiles, handicraft and handloom.
This apart, additional allocation has been made towards various incentives for exporters, guarantee of export credit, full refund of service tax to foreign agents and refund of service tax under the duty drawback scheme.
Instructions have also been given to state-run banks to unveil a scheme under which borrowers for houses under two categories - up to IRs 500,000 and up to IRs 2 million - will get special incentives.
“Housing is a potentially very important source of employment and demand for critical sectors and there is a large unmet need for housing in the country, especially for middle and low income groups,” the statement said.
For small and micro enterprises, the limits under the credit guarantee scheme which gives access to working capital and other financial needs, have been doubled to IRs 10 million.
The lock in period for loans covered under the existing credit guarantee scheme is also being reduced from 24 to 18 months to encourage banks to extend more loans under the credit guarantee scheme, the statement said.
The government has also authorised the India Infrastructure Finance Co Ltd (IIFCL) to raise IRs 100 billion ($2 billion) through tax-free bonds to support financing of government-financed infrastructure projects.
“These funds will be used by IIFCL to refinance bank lending of longer maturity to eligible infrastructure projects, particularly in highways and port sectors.” In a push to the automobile sector, government departments have been allowed to replace vehicles within the allowed budget, with a major relaxation in the time-consuming procedures.
This apart, import duty on naphtha for use by the power sector is being reduced to zero, while export duty on iron ore fines will be eliminated, and reduced to five per cent for lumps.
“The government is keeping a close watch on the evolving economic situation and will not hesitate to take any additional steps that may be needed to counter recessionary trends and maintain the pace of economic activity.” -- Agencies
Highlights of India's fiscal stimulus package
New Delhi: The following are the highlights of the fiscal stimulus package unveiled by the government Sunday to contain the impact of global financial crisis on the Indian economy:
- Plan, non-plan expenditure of IRs 300,000 crore (IRs 3,000 billion/$60 billion) in four months
- Parliament nod to be sought for IRs 20,000 crore more toward plan expenditure
- Across-the-board cut of four percent in the ad valorem central value-added tax
- Interest subvention of two percent on export credit for labour intensive sectors
- Additional allocations for export incentive schemes
- Full refund of service tax paid by exporters to foreign agents
- Incentives for loans on housing for up to IRs 500,000, and up to IRs 2 million
- Limits under the credit guarantee scheme for small enterprises doubled
- Lock-in period for loans to small firms under credit guarantee scheme reduced
- India Infrastructure Finance Co allowed to raise IRs 100 billion through tax-free bonds
- Norms for government departments to replace vehicles relaxed
- Import duty on naphtha for use by the power sector is being reduced to zero
- Export duty on iron ore fines eliminated
- Export duty on lumps for steel industry reduced to five percent -- Agencies
The amount is to be spent over the remaining four months on a host of areas and stake holders such as exporters, housing, infrastructure and textiles. A four per cent cut in Value Added Tax (VAT) has also been announced to help the corporate sector in general.
"The government has been concerned about the impact of the global financial crisis on the Indian economy and a number of steps have been taken to deal with this problem," an official statement said, unveiling the package.
The measures Sunday come a day after the central bank reduced its key rates and eased the norms for accessing overseas funds to reduce the cost of borrowing for commercial banks and signal them to lower interest rate for India Inc.
These measures were overseen by Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh himself, in consultations with now Home Minister P Chidambaram, Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia and Commerce Minister Kamal Nath, officials said.
As a first step, the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government will seek parliament's mandate for an additional allocation of IRs 200 billion to take the authorised plan and non-plan expenditure to IRs 3,000 billion in the remaining months of the fiscal. Parliament session is slated to open December 10.
“The economy will continue to need stimulus in 2009-2010 also and this can be achieved by ensuring a substantial increase in plan expenditure as part of the budget for next year,” the statement said.
The measures for exporters, who saw a decline in shipments in October for the first time in five years, include an interest support of two percent for labour intensive sectors like textiles, handicraft and handloom.
This apart, additional allocation has been made towards various incentives for exporters, guarantee of export credit, full refund of service tax to foreign agents and refund of service tax under the duty drawback scheme.
Instructions have also been given to state-run banks to unveil a scheme under which borrowers for houses under two categories - up to IRs 500,000 and up to IRs 2 million - will get special incentives.
“Housing is a potentially very important source of employment and demand for critical sectors and there is a large unmet need for housing in the country, especially for middle and low income groups,” the statement said.
For small and micro enterprises, the limits under the credit guarantee scheme which gives access to working capital and other financial needs, have been doubled to IRs 10 million.
The lock in period for loans covered under the existing credit guarantee scheme is also being reduced from 24 to 18 months to encourage banks to extend more loans under the credit guarantee scheme, the statement said.
The government has also authorised the India Infrastructure Finance Co Ltd (IIFCL) to raise IRs 100 billion ($2 billion) through tax-free bonds to support financing of government-financed infrastructure projects.
“These funds will be used by IIFCL to refinance bank lending of longer maturity to eligible infrastructure projects, particularly in highways and port sectors.” In a push to the automobile sector, government departments have been allowed to replace vehicles within the allowed budget, with a major relaxation in the time-consuming procedures.
This apart, import duty on naphtha for use by the power sector is being reduced to zero, while export duty on iron ore fines will be eliminated, and reduced to five per cent for lumps.
“The government is keeping a close watch on the evolving economic situation and will not hesitate to take any additional steps that may be needed to counter recessionary trends and maintain the pace of economic activity.” -- Agencies
Highlights of India's fiscal stimulus package
New Delhi: The following are the highlights of the fiscal stimulus package unveiled by the government Sunday to contain the impact of global financial crisis on the Indian economy:
- Plan, non-plan expenditure of IRs 300,000 crore (IRs 3,000 billion/$60 billion) in four months
- Parliament nod to be sought for IRs 20,000 crore more toward plan expenditure
- Across-the-board cut of four percent in the ad valorem central value-added tax
- Interest subvention of two percent on export credit for labour intensive sectors
- Additional allocations for export incentive schemes
- Full refund of service tax paid by exporters to foreign agents
- Incentives for loans on housing for up to IRs 500,000, and up to IRs 2 million
- Limits under the credit guarantee scheme for small enterprises doubled
- Lock-in period for loans to small firms under credit guarantee scheme reduced
- India Infrastructure Finance Co allowed to raise IRs 100 billion through tax-free bonds
- Norms for government departments to replace vehicles relaxed
- Import duty on naphtha for use by the power sector is being reduced to zero
- Export duty on iron ore fines eliminated
- Export duty on lumps for steel industry reduced to five percent -- Agencies
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