Showing posts with label GPI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GPI. Show all posts

Thursday, June 20, 2019

Nepal third most peaceful country in South Asia

Nepal is the third most peaceful country in South Asia. Though economic cost of voilance stood at $4226.9 million, Nepal has been ranked at 76th position, out of 163 countries, in the Global Peace Index 2019.
Nepal – climbing by 12 notches – has been ranked 76th most peaceful country – among 163 independent states and territories – in the world, and the third most peaceful country in South Asia, according to the 13th edition of the report produced by the Australia-based Institute for Economics and Peace measures the peacefulness according to factors such as military spending and deaths from conflict and terrorism, as well as an estimated economic cost of violence.
In South Asia, Bhutan ranked 15th followed by Sri Lanka (72), Bangladesh (101), India (141), Pakistan (153) and the Afghanistan (163) the least peaceful country in the World. The average South Asian score improved last year due to improvements in Nepal, Pakistan, Bhutan and a slight gain in Afghanistan. But the region still has the second lowest rank, just ahead of its neighbour Middle East and Northern America (MENA).
South Asia’s regional scores are bolstered by Bhutan, which is now the 15th most peaceful country in the world, after rising two places in 2019. The country improved in four indicators, deteriorated in only two and maintained strong scores in another 15, the report reads. “Only the police rate and the incarceration rate remain above a score of two.”
Very few Bhutanese were displaced, but the country did improve further on the refugees and IDPs indicator, as did its regional neighbour Afghanistan. Bhutan and Pakistan were amongst the 25 countries with the largest reductions in the homicide rate last year.
The region typically outperforms the global average on this indicator. Similarly, South Asia usually has lower levels of violent crime than the rest of the world, as the region’s challenges are more likely to be political than criminal.
While the regional impact of terrorism score showed almost no change in the 2019 index, the Easter attacks in Sri Lanka demonstrate that the region is not unaffected. Nearly 300 churchgoers and tourists were killed in coordinated attacks, credit for which was claimed by ISIL afterward. However, the Easter attack occurred after the cut-off for the 2019 GPI and is not included in this year’s index.
South Asia’s score for every indicator in Ongoing Conflict is less peaceful than the global average, with four out of six deteriorating last year. Only deaths from internal conflict improved, with fewer fatalities in Pakistan, Afghanistan and India than the year prior.
However, the number and duration of internal conflicts fought worsened in Afghanistan and Bangladesh. The score for internal conflicts fought had the highest rating at five in both India and Pakistan.
Afghanistan is the least peaceful country in the world, replacing Syria, which is now the second least peaceful one, the report further reads, claiming that the gap between the least and most peaceful countries ‘continues to grow’. Eighty-six countries improved their score in the 2019 report, while 76 deteriorated. “South Sudan, Yemen, and Iraq comprise the remaining five least peaceful countries.”
Iceland remains the most peaceful country in the world, a position it has held since 2008, the report reads, adding that New Zealand, Austria, Portugal, and Denmark, with European nations dominate the top of the list, according to their level of peacefulness.
The report that covers 99.7 per cent of the world’s population and uses 23 qualitative and quantitative indicators – grouping into three key domains; ongoing conflict, safety and security, and militarisation – from highly respected sources to compile the index.
Global peacefulness improves for the first time in five years, but the world continues to be less peaceful than a decade ago.
The average level of global peacefulness improved very slightly last year on the 2019 Global Peace Index (GPI). This was the first time that the index improved in the last five years. The average country score improved by -0.09 per cent, with 86 countries improving and 76 recording deteriorations. Iceland remains the most peaceful country in the world, a position it has held since 2008. It is joined at the top of the index by New Zealand, Austria, Portugal, and Denmark. Bhutan has recorded the largest improvement of any country in the top 20, rising 43 places in the last 12 years.
Despite the improvement this year, the world remains considerably less peaceful now than a decade ago, with the average level of peacefulness deteriorating by 3.78 per cent since 2008. The Global peacefulness has only improved for three of the last ten years. A wide range of factors drove the fall in peacefulness over the past decade including increased terrorist activity, the intensification of conflicts in the Middle East, rising regional tensions in Eastern Europe and northeast Asia, increasing numbers of refugees, and heightened political tensions in Europe and the US. This deterioration was partially offset by improvements in many of the measures of the Militarisation domain of the GPI. There has been a consistent reduction in military expenditure as a percentage of GDP for the majority of countries, as well as a fall in the armed services personnel rate for most countries in the world.
The economic impact of violence on the global economy in 2018 amounted to $14.1 trillion in constant purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. This is equivalent to 11.2 per cent of the world’s GDP or $1,853 per person. In 2018, the economic impact of violence improved for the first time since 2012, decreasing by 3.3 per cent or $475 billion. The decline in the economic impact of violence is reflective of the improvement in global peacefulness, which is discussed in section one of this report. The reduction was primarily due to a decline in the costs associated with Armed Conflict. This improvement was mainly due to lower levels of armed conflict in Syria, Colombia and Ukraine. This also resulted in a positive knock-on effect for refugees and internally displaced persons and terrorism, with reductions in the costs for both.
For the first time, the GPI 2019 includes research on climate change and peace. The impacts of fluctuating climate conditions on societal stability and its potential to lead to violent conflict is of growing importance. Although long-term quantitative data on the interactions of climate and peace is scarce, what is available suggests that climate has played a role in triggering or exacerbating conflict through its effects on livelihood security and resource availability.
The effects of climate shocks on factors such as resource scarcity, livelihood security and displacement can greatly increase the risk of future violent conflict, even when climate change does not directly cause conflict. An estimated 971 million people live in areas with high or very high exposure to climate hazards, putting them at risk for both extreme weather events and breakdowns in peacefulness in the coming decades. Of this number, 41 per cent reside in countries with low levels of peacefulness, while 22 per cent are in countries with high levels of peace. The Asia-Pacific and South Asia regions collectively house twice as many people in high exposure climate zones as all other regions combined. A risk assessment carried out by the Index for Risk Management in 2019 found that South Asia, Asia-Pacific and Central America and the Caribbean have weaker coping capacities and higher risk to natural hazards as compared to other regions.
The GPI 2019 also includes new data on wellbeing and perceptions of peacefulness. The reports shows that there have been increases in average feelings of life satisfaction and well being, perceptions of safety, and confidence in the local police and military, despite the last decade showing a decline in peacefulness around the world. Perceptions of peacefulness have increased in some areas but decreased in others. More people across the world now feel that they have more freedom in life, are more satisfied with life, and are treated with more respect than in 2008. Many more people also feel that their countries are better places to live for ethnic and religious minorities. However, daily feelings of sadness, worry, and stress have also increased over the same time. There is a strong correlation between perceptions of peacefulness and actual peacefulness as measured by the GPI. Both men and women in more peaceful countries are more likely to report that they feel safe walking alone at night than people in less peaceful countries. There is also a greater level of trust in police in more peaceful societies.

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Nepal ranks 76th most peaceful country in the world

Nepal is the 76th most peaceful country in the world, according to the thirteenth edition of the Global Peace Index (GPI) – which ranks 163 independent states and territories according to their level of peacefulness – Produced by the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP).
The Global Peace Index 2019 – the world’s leading measure of global peacefulness that covers 99.7 per cent of the world’s population – has awarded Nepal with a score of 2.0003. “Nepal has improved its position by 12 ranks from the previous year,” according to the Index that has ranked Bhutan in the 15th place, Sri Lanka in the 72nd position, and Bangladesh, China, India and Pakistan in 101st, 110th, 141st and 153rd position, respectively. “Afghanistan is in the last (163rd) position of the list.”
“The average South Asian score improved last year due to improvements in Nepal, Pakistan, Bhutan and a slight gain in Afghanistan,” according to the index. “However, the region still has the second lowest rank, just ahead of its neighbour MENA.”
Based on 23 qualitative and quantitative indicators from highly respected sources, and measures the state of peace using three thematic domains: the level of societal safety and security; the extent of ongoing domestic and international conflict; and the degree of militarisation, the GPI report presents the most comprehensive data-driven analysis to date on peace, its economic value, trends, and how to develop peaceful societies.
In addition to presenting the findings from the 2019 GPI, this year’s report includes analysis of trends in Positive Peace: the attitudes, institutions, and structures that create and sustain peaceful societies. It looks at the relationship between the actual peace of a country, as measured by the GPI, and Positive Peace, and how a deficit of Positive Peace is often a predictor of future increases in violent conflict. It also looks at the dynamic relationship between changes in Positive Peace and changes in the economy.
The results this year show that the average level of global peacefulness improved very slightly in the 2019 GPI. This is the first time the index has improved in five years. The average country score improved by 0.09 per cent, with 86 countries improving, and 76 recording deteriorations. The 2019 GPI reveals a world in which the conflicts and crises that emerged in the past decade have begun to abate, but new tensions within and between nations have emerged.
Iceland remains the most peaceful country in the world, a position it has held since 2008. It is joined at the top of the index by New Zealand, Austria, Portugal, and Denmark. Likewise, Bhutan has recorded the largest improvement of any country in the top 20, rising 43 places in the last 12 years.
Afghanistan is now the least peaceful country in the world, replacing Syria, which is now the second least peaceful. South Sudan, Yemen, and Iraq comprise the remaining five least peaceful countries. This is the first year since the inception of the index that Yemen has been ranked amongst the five least peaceful countries.
The economic impact of violence on the global economy in 2018 was $14.1 trillion in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms, the report reads, adding that the figure is equivalent to 11.2 per cent of the world’s economic activity (gross world product) or $1,853 for every person. “The economic impact of violence improved by 3.3 per cent during 2018.”
The greatest improvement was in Armed Conflict, which decreased by 29 per cent to $672 billion, owing to a fall in the intensity of conflict in Syria, Colombia and Ukraine. There was also a substantial reduction in the economic impact of terrorism, which fell by 48 per cent from 2017 to 2018.
Violence continues to have a significant impact on economic performance around the globe. In the ten countries most affected by violence, the average economic cost of violence was equivalent to 35 per cent of GDP, compared to just 3.3 per cent in the countries least affected by violence. Syria, Afghanistan and the Central African Republic incurred the largest economic cost of violence in 2018 as a percentage of their GDP, equivalent to 67, 47 and 42 per cent of GDP, respectively.
The economic impact of violence model includes data on suicide for the first time in the 2019 GPI. The report finds that the economic impact of suicide is higher than that of Armed Conflict, amounting to $737 billion in 2018.
Similarly, the report also finds that Positive Peace is dynamically associated with economic development. There is a strong correlation between changes in the Positive Peace Index and GDP growth between 2005 and 2018. “Greater household consumption is a key reason for the link between improvements in Positive Peace and economic performance,” it reads, adding that households are particularly helped by improvements in public administration. 

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Prolonged uncertainty hits Nepal's prosperity ranking


Low score in entrepreneurship and opportunities, personal capital, and weak governance system of the country, has pulled Nepal down to the 108th position in 2012, from a year ago's 93rd position, according to the Global Prosperity Index (GPI) published by London-based think tank, Legatum Institute, today.
Legatum’s prosperity index has ranked Nepal 115th in entrepreneurship and opportunities, and 116th in personal capital. Similarly, the governance system of the country has also weakened to 110th position among the 142 countries examined for their prosperity strength.
Prosperity index of Nepal had suffered since last couple of years, though Constituent Assembly election had given a glimpse of a better future from the years-long instability and prolonged economic uncertainties that were propelled by political instability pulling Nepal's ranking down.
Likewise, South Asian economies have also witnessed a sharp fall in making wealth following problems in economies and politics — from governance to personal freedom including safety and security. Most South Asian economies have scored seven to eight points less in the index of 2012.
According to the report, Sri Lanka is the only economy that gained prosperity in 2012. The country has secured 58th position among the 142 countries studied to rank prosperity through eight different parameters — economy, entrepreneurship and opportunities, governance, education, health, safety and security, personal freedom, and social capital.
Sri Lanka has climbed five steps to secure top position among South Asian countries in the last one year, the report said, adding that it was in the 63rd position a year ago.
Prosperity of South Asian economic giant, India, has also dropped from 91st position to 101st position in a year. Weakening safety and security and governance have caused the slide of the Indian economy that is, however, still in the 57th position in the globe.
Pakistan, which ranked 132nd in the index, has shown poor performances in all the eight parameters. The country has been ranked 138th in safety and security, followed by personal freedom (139th) safety and security (115th), entrepreneurship and opportunities (115th). It also has a poor record of governance at 103rd position.
Bangladesh was in a better position than Pakistan with a rank of 103, according to the sixth edition of Legatum Prosperity Index that has studied of wealth and wellbeing in 142 countries.
The ranking has placed Norway top for the overall prosperity index, whereas Switzerland is number one for economy, Denmark has scored the highest for entrepreneurship and opportunity, Switzerland tops in governance, Luxembourg ranks number one for health, Iceland ranks highest for safety and security, Canada scores highest for personal freedom, and Norway ranks highest for social capital sub-categories in the 2012 report.
Covering 96 per cent of the world’s population, the index is an attempt to broaden measurement of a nation’s economic health beyond indicators like gross domestic product. The Legatum Institute is a public policy research arm of the Legatum Group, a Dubai-based private investment group, founded in 2006 by New Zealand billionaire Christopher Chandler.
 
South Asian ranking
Country - 2009 - 2010 - 2011 - 2012
Sri Lanka - 68 - 59 - 63 - 58
India - 78 - 88 -91 -101
Bangladesh - 95 - 96 - 95 - 103
Nepal - 88 - 91 - 93 - 108
Pakistan - 107 - 109 - 107 - 132
Afghanistan - - - 140
(Source: Global Prosperity Index 2009-12, Legatum Institute)
 
South Asian ranking in key categories
Economy - E&O - Governance - S&S - Personal Freedom
Afghanistan - 130 - 121 - 141 - 140 - 135
Bangladesh - 73 - 104 - 98 - 118 - 32
India - 57 - 99 - 49 - 114 - 67
Nepal - 97 - 115 - 110 - 83 - 116
Pakistan - 115 - 103 - 115 - 139 - 132
Sri Lanka - 71 - 86 - 51 - 122 - 58
(E&O= Entrepreneurship and Opportunities, S&S= Safety and Security)