The growing incidence of natural disasters in Asia and the
Pacific—where four of five cities globally classified as at extreme risk are
located—threatens to undermine seriously rapid economic progress, calling for a
much stronger focus among governments on disaster prevention, says a new study
from Independent Evaluation at the Asian Development Bank (ADB).
The region has borne the brunt of the physical and economic damage
of the sharp rise in natural disasters since the 1980s. Its people are four
times more likely to be affected by natural disaster than in Africa and 25
times more than in Europe or North America. With 25 per cent of the world’s
gross domestic product (GDP), the region accounted for 38 per cent of the
economic losses due to natural disasters during 1980–2009.
The study— ADB’s Response to Natural Disasters and Disaster Risks —
calls for projects and programmes to put a far greater emphasis on improving
disaster prevention. Much wider recognition is needed of the fact that natural
disasters, particularly storms and floods, are becoming endemic and that their
increasing frequency and severity can slash economic growth and development.
“We have thought for too long that natural disasters come and go,
that they are just an interruption to development, and that they can be dealt
with after they strike,” said the director general of Independent Evaluation
Vinod Thomas. “However, there is growing international recognition that the incidence
and impact of natural disasters are increasing because of persistent poverty,
population growth, and climate change.”
In its review of ADB’s disaster-related projects and programs, the
study notes that disaster prevention accounted for one-third of investment,
compared with two-thirds spent on disaster recovery. Yet, by some measures, one
dollar invested today in reducing disaster risk saves at least four dollars in
future relief and rehabilitation costs.
The independent evaluation study finds that ADB’s
disaster-recovery projects have been much more successful than ADB-supported
projects overall. But many of them had the limited objective of restoring
particular types of infrastructure, rather than rehabilitating livelihoods, or
increasing disaster resilience. So far, very few countries have focused on the
disaster risks in their economic development plans. Member country governments
and ADB must do more to highlight the need for investment in disaster
prevention, not just in infrastructure, but also in relation to social
development.
During 1995–2011, ADB provided funding of $10.37 billion for 264
natural disaster interventions, including 104 loans for $8.55 billion.
A special review of ADB’s disaster response programmes in
Bangladesh, Indonesia, and Pakistan finds several areas where ADB and the rest
of the development community could improve both disaster response and
preparation.
In Bangladesh, for example, ADB has been efficient at renovating
damaged roads and bridges. But it can support the proactive and successful
disaster management programs the government has implemented. These programs
have dramatically lowered deaths in this disaster-prone delta-region caused by
regular, powerful cyclones. In a storm in 1997, for example, 111 were killed in
contrast with 300,000 people in a similar storm in 1970.
In Indonesia—after the earthquake off Sumatra and resulting
tsunami in December 2004, killing more than 200,000 around the Indian Ocean—the
government gained valuable experience, through effective delegation, in
handling the huge numbers of donors that line up to respond to such disasters.
Greater support is now needed for strengthening the institutions that emerged
out of the response to the disaster, including the National Agency for Disaster
Management. This replaced the Aceh-Nias Rehabilitation and Reconstruction
Agency (known as BRR)—set up in 2005 and dissolved in 2009 as it completed its
task—as the government’s central coordinating body for disaster response and
prevention.
Another lesson learned in the earthquake-tsunami response is the
hugely complex needs such disasters create. “You cannot simply rehabilitate
roads and bridges and then build temporary shelter. Often, poverty, gender,
ethnic issues, property rights and other problems compound the difficulties and
require much greater attention and capacity for response from the development
community,” says Principal Evaluation Specialist and the main author Tomoo Ueda.
In Pakistan, where the country’s defense forces have gained
respect for their disaster response, there is significant need for greater
support for civil disaster-management institutions, such as the National
Disaster Management Authority.
“Throughout the region, we must recognize that investments in
disaster risk management are an essential means to sustaining growth and
poverty reduction,” said Thomas.
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